Re: Navy: F-35C Will Be Eyes and Ears of the Fleet
Posted: 21 Sep 2024, 10:17
Two things that stick out to me:fbw wrote:This is just the quick highlights of FY25 navy budget:
https://www.secnav.navy.mil/fmc/fmb/Doc ... s_Book.pdf
82 F-35C planned procurement FY25-29
On a brighter note SM-6 procurement will finally reach acceptable numbers FY28-29, 300 procured per year.
Firstly, as much as (or even more than) the widely remarked apprehension towards TR-3 delays and the immaturity of the Block 4 pipeline, I think the major limiting factor against an F-35C procurement increase is the state of F-35 support infrastructure. Based on publicized info since the first deployments, I can't think of how F-35C integration or production in and of themselves would be a source of major apprehension.
Lockheed F-35 representative stated at Tailhook '24 that production could be scaled up to 30 F-35Cs delivered annually. https://youtu.be/QT243OG_bmQ?si=u4CO6Vu54B39E06c&t=213
Also at Tailhook, CNAF Dan Cheever stated that F-35C Mission Capable rates were "on the cusp" of meeting requirements (unsure if this is the 75% minimum or the 85% objective), maintainability of LO materials was greater than expected, and the upkeep focus is on long-term health. https://youtu.be/swh1zLPQzLE?si=frAS534l8cia0EoH&t=592 NAVAIR Commander Carl Chebi stated that F-35C readiness rates aboard carriers were 94%. https://twitter.com/RepKatiePorter/status/1801032823198961928We have the capacity to actually produce up to 30 F-35Cs per year. We haven't gotten that rate yet, we're not sure we'll get there, but we could do that if asked.
- F-35C Program Manager Jim Gigliotti
(I am still confused as to the distinction between 'readiness' and MC/FMC)
The GAO's F-35 report from April this year shows the F-35C as meeting reliability metrics regarding flight hours between downtime and maintenance man-hours, with the glaring deficiencies being the time needed to repair. The report also reiterates the GAO's remarks that the F135 maintenance pipeline and spare parts supply chain are still significantly immature. Fleet-wide MC/FMC rates across FY22-23 are listed around 62%/20%. Based on the discrepancy between the widely disparaged fleet-wide readiness rates and the comparatively recent indicators from CNAF and NAVAIR, as well as the reported finer details of the sustainability issue, it sounds like the high reliability of currently deployed F-35Cs is thanks to their low volume not being compromised by the JSF logistics chain, and NAVAIR wants to keep it that way in order to operate onboard 35Cs close to F-18E/F tempo.
Secondly, what's with AMRAAM procurement rapidly diminishing starting in FY2025 and stopping entirely by '28? Is there precedent for a sort pause in missile procurement due to existing stockpiles and service lifespans, or should this be indicative of a different procurement direction?